By 2050, EU+ fossil fuel demand is projected to decline sharply, with up to 137 MMtoe of advanced and waste-based biofuels potentially available and refinery capacity rationalization reaching 10.7–11.1 million bbl/d. The sustainable fuel market will require robust infrastructure and policy to meet projected deficits in e-fuels and green hydrogen

XTL fuels, such as HVO and synthetic diesel, cut CO₂ emissions by up to 90% and are fully compatible with existing diesel engines. French and Monaco distributors supply XTL from waste oils and plastics, enabling immediate emissions reduction for heavy-duty and regional fleets.

ED95, a blend of 95% bioethanol and 5% additives, reduces CO₂ by up to 95%, NOx by 50%, and particulates by 100% versus diesel. France leads Europe in bioethanol, with rising adoption in trucking, agriculture, and maritime sectors, supporting energy independence and climate targets.

European projects convert 400,000 tonnes/year of waste into 240,000 tonnes of methanol, avoiding 3.4 million tonnes CO₂ over 10 years. Facilities in Spain, Denmark, and France integrate waste gasification, CO₂ capture, and green hydrogen to supply shipping with circular, low-carbon fuels.

Europe’s energy transition leverages first-generation (food crops), second-generation (agricultural residues, waste oils), and third-generation (algae, organic waste) biofuels. Facilities valorize waste like grape pomace for bioethanol, supporting a circular economy and significant CO₂ reduction in transport.

SAF can cut lifecycle emissions by up to 80% and is certified for up to 50% blends, with Airbus and Boeing targeting 100% SAF capability by 2030. EU mandates require 2% SAF in 2025, rising to 6% by 2030, driving rapid industrial transformation and investment in domestic production.

The sustainable fuel market is set to grow at 16.16% CAGR from $291.09 billion in 2025 to $1,120.99 billion by 2034. Biofuels hold over 50% market share, with hydrogen growing fastest. Transport accounts for 65% of revenue, driven by EU and global decarbonization mandates.

The ISCC Proof of Compliance framework enables fuel suppliers and downstream users to document GHG savings and sustainability, even after original PoS surrender. The system includes unique IDs, batch tracking, and strict audit trails to prevent double counting and ensure regulatory compliance.

RED III mandates a 14.5% transport emission reduction or 29% renewable energy by 2030. Euro 7, ETS2 (2027), MARPOL Annex VI, FuelEU Maritime, and ReFuelEU Aviation set strict emission and SAF blending requirements, impacting compliance strategies for aviation, shipping, and road transport.